Oznia, a blog of Israel things


~Short-Lived Livni by ronshapiro
October 26, 2008, 4:09 pm
Filed under: opinion, politics | Tags: , , , , , , ,

It wasn’t too long ago that Tzipi Livni took control of Kadima and people were cheering that Prime Minister Olmert would soon step down.  The funny thing is, it will be more than 4 months until Olmert is allowed to leave office.

Kadima chair Tzipi Livni

With Shas and Degel Hatorah rejecting Livni’s request to join the coalition, Livni recognizes that going to general elections would be the smartest idea for the Jewish country.  Livni is set to meet with President Shimon Peres on Sunday to discuss the elections.

Is this good or bad for the Israeli people?  Having Olmert in office for 3-4 more months isn’t the greatest thing in the world, and almost all Israelis would agree with that.  But, after the election process is over, the Prime Minister will be supported by most of society for the first time in a couple of years.  Also, if you look at the idea of a Kadima-led government, it is easy to realize that it is very hard to succeed with a centerist platform.

Israelis have always been very opinionated with their views, normally either right or left.  therefore, it makes sense that the coalition is led by own of those sides.  A centerist government could sway one way and then the other, and never have a complete path of direction (something that Olmert was criticized for during the 2006 War in Lebanon).  Also, the fact that United Torah Judaism wouldn’t have been a big factor in Livni Coalition, because the strict Haredi parties usually have huge requests that are hard to accomodate for.  A coalition without them is key for the Knesset to so that they don’t have to rely on votes by parties that will later require requests that are extremist.

With the new elections assuming to come up in 90 days, the frontrunner is probably Benyamin “Bibi” Netanyahu (Likud), current leader of the opposition.  The former Prime Minister is very popular, and Israelis aren’t happy with the more leftist views of the past government.  Tzipi Livni (Kadima) will probably lose support because she was unable to create a coalition already once.  Finally, Ehud Barak (Labor) doesn’t have the best popularity, but does have experience of being Defense Minister and Prime Minister before.

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1 Comment so far
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I think Israel is tired of being ruled by an elite minority. Clearly, the Kadima platform does not represent mainstream views. Due to the fact that security is now a major issue again, the people have grown hawkish and moved to the right. Also, I think Bibi gains major leverage when he calls Livni out for her irresponsible refusal to take Jerusalem off of the negotiation table.
Although Barak is a long shot, there is a small chance Bibi and Livni could split the vote, giving Barak the chance to weasel his way in. However, I think at the end of the day, Livni will share votes with Barak, giving Bibi all the more majority.

Comment by joshman91




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